MANILA, Philippines – The low pressure area (LPA) east of extreme Northern Luzon developed into tropical depression and was named ‘Luis’, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 am update on Wednesday, September 28, 2022.
At 10:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression ‘Luis’ was estimated based on all available data at 1,100 km East of Extreme Northern Luzon.
|Satellite image of Tropical Depression ‘Luis’ as of 11:00 am, September 28, 2022. PAGASA|
‘Bagyong Luis’ has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 70 km/h, and central pressure of 1004 hPa. It is moving northwestward at 25 km/h.
Strong winds extend outwards up to 90 km from the center.
No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal is currently in effect.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Tropical Depression ‘Luis’ is forecast to move north northwestward in the next 24 hours before turning generally northeastward tomorrow evening. On the forecast track, ‘Luis’ will exit the northern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning or early afternoon.
NOTE: The Low Pressure Area east of Extreme Northern Luzon developed into Tropical Depression LUIS at 8:00 AM today.
This tropical cyclone is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm within the next 24 hours.
Further intensification is likely while moving over the sea east of southern Ryukyu Islands.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
‘Bagyong Luis’ is unlikely to directly affect the weather condition in the country within the forecast period.
In the next 24 hours, the Southwest Monsoon and the Low Pressure Area east of Mindanao will bring rains over the western section of Southern Luzon, Eastern and Western Visayas, and the eastern section of Mindanao.
The latest forecast scenario for ‘Luis’ shows that the hoisting of Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal over any land area in the country is unlikely.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
The tropical depression is unlikely to directly affect the sea conditions over the coastal waters of the country.
‘Luis’ is the Philippines’ 12th tropical cyclone for 2022.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
— The Summit Express